Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 52.1% vs Dowd 53.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 82.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 70.9%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Geekie
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Geekie
Dowd
Last 6: Geekie 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
3
0
Geekie
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Geekie
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (615)
55.4% (771)
-2.2%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
57.1% (7)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
45.5% (165)
-1.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Geekie is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Geekie shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Geekie
Dowd
Home
55.0% (331)
58.2% (462)
Away
50.0% (338)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Geekie
Dowd
P1
53.9%
55.6%
P2
56.0%
50.5%
P3
46.5%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |