Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 49.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 85.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 62.7%
Neutral zone
Geekie 50.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Geekie
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Geekie
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Geekie
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Geekie
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (505)
55.2% (625)
-5.3%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
57.1% (7)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (93)
38.2% (220)
+10.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Geekie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Geekie shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Geekie
Dowd
Home
50.0% (314)
53.7% (445)
Away
48.3% (290)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Geekie
Dowd
P1
51.3%
48.8%
P2
46.9%
49.3%
P3
49.5%
54.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |