Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs Dowd 48.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 79.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 89.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 74.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Geekie
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Geekie
Dowd
Last 7: Geekie 5-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Geekie
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
49.2% (778)
-5.5%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
58.3% (12)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
44.0% (234)
+6.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Geekie is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Geekie shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Geekie
Dowd
Home
45.3% (329)
46.3% (492)
Away
42.9% (331)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Geekie
Dowd
P1
41.2%
49.1%
P2
45.0%
48.2%
P3
46.2%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |