Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 52.1% vs Roy 48.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 69.3%
Defensive zone
Geekie 52.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Geekie
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Geekie
Roy
Last 10: Geekie 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
4
Geekie
Roy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
4
3
Geekie
Roy
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
4
1
Geekie
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (615)
49.5% (746)
+3.7%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
50.7% (75)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
42.7% (110)
+1.7%
On power play, Roy has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Geekie is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Geekie shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Geekie
Roy
Home
55.0% (331)
47.7% (491)
Away
50.0% (338)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Geekie
Roy
P1
53.9%
51.1%
P2
56.0%
44.6%
P3
46.5%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |