Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.4%). Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs Roy 48.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 67.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Geekie
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
15
(33 meetings)
18
15
Geekie
Roy
Last 10: Geekie 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
5
4
Geekie
Roy
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
8
Geekie
Roy
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
8
3
Geekie
Roy
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,307)
48.7% (3,719)
+0.1%
Power Play
45.7% (188)
49.5% (283)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
45.5% (477)
+0.2%
On power play, Roy has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Geekie is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Geekie shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Geekie
Roy
Home
50.0% (1,281)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
46.8% (1,343)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Geekie
Roy
P1
48.6%
50.8%
P2
48.8%
46.3%
P3
47.7%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |