Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 49.3% vs Roy 48.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 53.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 58.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Geekie
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Geekie
Roy
Last 8: Geekie 4-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Geekie
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Geekie
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (505)
48.3% (633)
+1.6%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
52.1% (48)
-52.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (93)
43.7% (87)
+4.7%
On power play, Roy has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Geekie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Geekie shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Geekie
Roy
Home
50.0% (314)
50.8% (376)
Away
48.3% (290)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Geekie
Roy
P1
51.3%
53.8%
P2
46.9%
43.5%
P3
49.5%
46.4%
Final 5 min
49.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |