Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs Roy 47.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 64.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.7%
Neutral zone
Geekie 50.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Geekie
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Geekie
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Geekie
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
47.5% (617)
-3.8%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
39.6% (53)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.4% (97)
+3.6%
On power play, Geekie has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Geekie is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Geekie shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Geekie
Roy
Home
45.3% (329)
47.2% (398)
Away
42.9% (331)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Geekie
Roy
P1
41.2%
48.6%
P2
45.0%
48.8%
P3
46.2%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |