Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 49.3% vs Aho 51.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 75.5%
Defensive zone
Geekie 69.0%
Neutral zone
Geekie 59.9%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Geekie
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Geekie
Aho
Last 6: Geekie 3-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Geekie
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
3
1
Geekie
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (505)
48.5% (778)
+1.4%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
63.4% (191)
-63.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (93)
50.8% (65)
-2.4%
On power play, Aho has a +63.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Geekie shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Geekie
Aho
Home
50.0% (314)
51.3% (530)
Away
48.3% (290)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Geekie
Aho
P1
51.3%
50.0%
P2
46.9%
51.3%
P3
49.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |