Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.3% vs Aho 54.9% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 56.7%
Defensive zone
Geekie 53.3%
Neutral zone
Geekie 55.6%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Geekie
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Geekie
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Geekie
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (352)
54.5% (870)
-8.8%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
62.4% (266)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
37.1% (62)
-3.8%
On even strength, Aho has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Geekie shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Geekie
Aho
Home
48.5% (165)
53.9% (603)
Away
45.0% (209)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Geekie
Aho
P1
48.5%
54.1%
P2
45.1%
55.0%
P3
45.8%
57.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |