Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs Aho 53.8% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 91.9%
Defensive zone
Aho 66.7%
Neutral zone
Aho 78.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Geekie
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Geekie
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
51.2% (785)
-7.5%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
63.8% (213)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
57.9% (57)
-7.9%
On power play, Aho has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Geekie shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Geekie
Aho
Home
45.3% (329)
54.9% (548)
Away
42.9% (331)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Geekie
Aho
P1
41.2%
52.8%
P2
45.0%
58.9%
P3
46.2%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |