Adam Henrique vs Nathan MacKinnon
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs MacKinnon 48.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 59.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 65.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 61.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Henrique
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Henrique
MacKinnon
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
5
Henrique
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Henrique
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
48.2% (849)
-3.7%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
51.0% (151)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
44.7% (47)
-1.5%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Henrique is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Henrique shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Henrique
MacKinnon
Home
46.9% (680)
51.2% (521)
Away
42.5% (701)
45.6% (526)
By Period
Henrique
MacKinnon
P1
43.0%
49.9%
P2
46.2%
48.0%
P3
46.2%
47.9%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |