Auston Matthews vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 94.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 82.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 92.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Matthews
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Matthews
MacKinnon
Last 9: Matthews 8-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
1
Matthews
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
45.8% (755)
+10.5%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
48.3% (60)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
27.6% (29)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Matthews
MacKinnon
Home
60.7% (572)
49.5% (396)
Away
52.4% (657)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Matthews
MacKinnon
P1
60.3%
50.2%
P2
55.6%
43.8%
P3
53.3%
41.4%
OT
45.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |