Barclay Goodrow vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 69.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 58.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Last 5: Goodrow 1-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Goodrow
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
44.7% (1,053)
+2.1%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
36.8% (95)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
65.0% (20)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Goodrow is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Goodrow shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Home
44.3% (314)
49.4% (553)
Away
47.7% (279)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Goodrow
MacKinnon
P1
46.8%
45.3%
P2
44.0%
42.7%
P3
47.1%
45.1%
OT
40.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
43.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |