Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.5% vs MacKinnon 42.6% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 89.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 86.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 91.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Jenner
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Jenner
MacKinnon
Last 6: Jenner 6-0 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (374)
40.7% (953)
+17.1%
Power Play
55.4% (56)
51.4% (148)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (53)
36.4% (55)
+3.2%
On even strength, Jenner has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jenner is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Jenner shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Jenner
MacKinnon
Home
53.6% (239)
42.1% (617)
Away
57.4% (244)
41.7% (540)
By Period
Jenner
MacKinnon
P1
56.6%
43.4%
P2
56.6%
40.9%
P3
53.6%
40.8%
OT
40.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |