Brady Tkachuk vs Nathan MacKinnon
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tkachuk wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 47.1% vs MacKinnon 43.8% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 89.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 68.6%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 71.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Last 7: Tkachuk 5-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (226)
44.4% (743)
+2.5%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
35.7% (70)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
25.9% (27)
+54.1%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +54.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Tkachuk is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Tkachuk shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Home
47.6% (168)
46.4% (394)
Away
44.4% (144)
40.1% (446)
By Period
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
P1
49.1%
44.4%
P2
42.9%
38.2%
P3
46.5%
46.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |