Brady Tkachuk vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 95.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 76.0%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 82.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Last 8: Tkachuk 6-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
1
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
45.8% (755)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
48.3% (60)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
27.6% (29)
+72.4%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +72.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Home
51.1% (233)
49.5% (396)
Away
49.0% (202)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
P1
42.9%
50.2%
P2
52.2%
43.8%
P3
53.7%
41.4%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |