Brayden Point vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 52.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.9%
Neutral zone
Point 53.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Point
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Point
MacKinnon
Last 6: Point 5-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
4
1
Point
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
49.2% (1,266)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
54.9% (193)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
49.1% (55)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Point has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Point is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Point shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Point
MacKinnon
Home
49.7% (471)
50.9% (740)
Away
47.2% (415)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Point
MacKinnon
P1
46.6%
50.9%
P2
51.7%
51.8%
P3
46.5%
47.1%
OT
66.7%
58.8%
Final 5 min
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Brayden Point |