Brayden Schenn vs Nathan MacKinnon
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.0% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 62.9%
Defensive zone
Schenn 70.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 64.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Schenn
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Schenn
MacKinnon
Last 7: Schenn 5-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Schenn
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (562)
48.5% (439)
+3.6%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
54.8% (42)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
25.0% (12)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schenn is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Schenn shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Schenn
MacKinnon
Home
54.3% (293)
52.5% (221)
Away
50.5% (315)
45.2% (272)
By Period
Schenn
MacKinnon
P1
52.0%
50.5%
P2
49.1%
45.5%
P3
55.2%
48.5%
OT
77.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |