Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs MacKinnon 42.6% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 85.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 87.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 91.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Larkin
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Larkin
MacKinnon
Last 9: Larkin 9-0 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
40.7% (953)
+7.8%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
51.4% (148)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
36.4% (55)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Larkin is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Larkin shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Larkin
MacKinnon
Home
51.4% (652)
42.1% (617)
Away
48.5% (662)
41.7% (540)
By Period
Larkin
MacKinnon
P1
49.1%
43.4%
P2
52.0%
40.9%
P3
48.0%
40.8%
OT
52.6%
55.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |