Evgeni Malkin vs Nathan MacKinnon
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 50.3% vs MacKinnon 43.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 81.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 71.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Malkin
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Malkin
MacKinnon
Last 5: Malkin 0-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Malkin
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Malkin
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (774)
44.4% (743)
+6.1%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
35.7% (70)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
10.0% (10)
25.9% (27)
-15.9%
On power play, Malkin has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Malkin is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Malkin shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Malkin
MacKinnon
Home
49.1% (411)
46.4% (394)
Away
51.4% (465)
40.1% (446)
By Period
Malkin
MacKinnon
P1
49.5%
44.4%
P2
54.7%
38.2%
P3
46.7%
46.4%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
50.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |