Ivan Barbashev vs Nathan MacKinnon

2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ivan Barbashev holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barbashev wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barbashev 46.4% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone MacKinnon 66.1%
Defensive zone Barbashev 72.7%
Neutral zone Barbashev 56.5%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Barbashev MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 3 (8 meetings)
5
3
Barbashev MacKinnon
Last 8: Barbashev 5-3 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Barbashev MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
0
Barbashev MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev MacKinnon
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (389)
42.8% (1,039)
+3.7%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
50.8% (118)
-34.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
46.2% (26)
-4.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +34.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barbashev is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Barbashev shoots left. MacKinnon is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Home
45.9% (233)
48.0% (586)
Away
45.2% (208)
39.5% (597)
By Period
Barbashev
MacKinnon
P1
46.5%
46.1%
P2
48.3%
41.5%
P3
42.1%
43.8%
Final 5 min
42.4%
47.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%
35.0%
45.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
43.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 1, 2019 3 05:16 Offensive Ivan Barbashev
Apr 1, 2019 1 04:46 Neutral Ivan Barbashev
Feb 16, 2019 3 11:01 Offensive Ivan Barbashev
Feb 16, 2019 3 03:13 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 14, 2018 2 08:54 Defensive Ivan Barbashev
Nov 30, 2018 2 15:49 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 30, 2018 2 08:41 Defensive Ivan Barbashev
Nov 30, 2018 1 02:49 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon