Jaden Schwartz vs Nathan MacKinnon
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schwartz wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 48.8% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 67.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 75.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Last 5: Schwartz 2-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
2
0
Schwartz
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Schwartz
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (101)
49.3% (1,167)
+0.2%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
61.0% (187)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
47.9% (167)
+2.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schwartz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Schwartz shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Home
51.4% (72)
57.7% (728)
Away
44.1% (68)
44.0% (793)
By Period
Schwartz
MacKinnon
P1
48.6%
50.1%
P2
47.7%
52.5%
P3
47.3%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
54.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
47.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |