Mark Jankowski vs Nathan MacKinnon
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 45.7% vs MacKinnon 43.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 59.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Last 6: Jankowski 2-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Jankowski
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (349)
44.4% (743)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
35.7% (70)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (70)
25.9% (27)
+8.4%
On power play, Jankowski has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jankowski is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Jankowski shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Home
47.0% (183)
46.4% (394)
Away
43.0% (242)
40.1% (446)
By Period
Jankowski
MacKinnon
P1
44.5%
44.4%
P2
42.9%
38.2%
P3
47.4%
46.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
44.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |