Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Bonino 51.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 52.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 81.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 75.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
MacKinnon
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
MacKinnon
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
51.7% (777)
-5.9%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
60.0% (50)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
43.9% (98)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bonino
Home
49.5% (396)
48.2% (461)
Away
41.7% (448)
54.5% (464)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bonino
P1
50.2%
54.1%
P2
43.8%
49.7%
P3
41.4%
50.7%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |