Nathan MacKinnon vs Nick Bonino
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Bonino 50.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 34-27 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 78.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 61.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
MacKinnon
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
34
(61 meetings)
27
34
MacKinnon
Bonino
Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
13
6
MacKinnon
Bonino
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
14
MacKinnon
Bonino
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
10
14
MacKinnon
Bonino
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
50.6% (8,315)
-4.5%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
54.1% (972)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
44.6% (1,693)
-1.8%
On even strength, Bonino has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bonino
Home
49.7% (6,444)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bonino
P1
47.4%
50.6%
P2
46.6%
48.5%
P3
46.1%
51.1%
OT
48.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |