Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Bonino 48.5% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 56.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
MacKinnon
Bonino
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
48.1% (324)
-3.4%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
57.9% (38)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
44.3% (88)
+20.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bonino
Home
49.4% (553)
52.0% (244)
Away
40.0% (615)
43.7% (206)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bonino
P1
45.3%
48.0%
P2
42.7%
42.9%
P3
45.1%
53.9%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%