Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Bonino 50.8% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 76.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 71.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
MacKinnon
Bonino
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
51.8% (305)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
48.5% (101)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bonino
Home
47.8% (670)
53.1% (177)
Away
44.6% (644)
49.3% (229)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bonino
P1
45.3%
55.9%
P2
48.5%
49.6%
P3
45.0%
47.6%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%