Nathan MacKinnon vs Nicklas Backstrom
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.4%). Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 50.5% vs Backstrom 51.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 50.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 72.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
15
(19 meetings)
4
15
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
6
MacKinnon
Backstrom
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
3
MacKinnon
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
6
MacKinnon
Backstrom
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,167)
52.5% (1,108)
-3.2%
Power Play
61.0% (187)
52.4% (164)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (167)
27.9% (61)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
MacKinnon shoots right. Backstrom is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Home
57.7% (728)
52.5% (642)
Away
44.0% (793)
50.4% (691)
By Period
MacKinnon
Backstrom
P1
50.1%
50.2%
P2
52.5%
51.4%
P3
49.3%
53.0%
OT
43.8%
41.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |