Nathan MacKinnon vs Nicklas Backstrom
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Backstrom 46.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 63.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 60.2%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 52.7%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
MacKinnon
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
47.0% (541)
-1.2%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
47.4% (95)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
15.4% (13)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Home
49.5% (396)
48.5% (328)
Away
41.7% (448)
44.2% (321)
By Period
MacKinnon
Backstrom
P1
50.2%
44.8%
P2
43.8%
42.9%
P3
41.4%
50.9%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |