Nathan MacKinnon vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Backstrom 50.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 41-27 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 71.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 74.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
41
(68 meetings)
27
41
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Last 10: MacKinnon 7-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
6
14
MacKinnon
Backstrom
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
8
12
MacKinnon
Backstrom
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
13
15
MacKinnon
Backstrom
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
50.4% (11,581)
-4.3%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
52.3% (1,895)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
47.0% (889)
-4.2%
On even strength, Backstrom has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Home
49.7% (6,444)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
MacKinnon
Backstrom
P1
47.4%
50.1%
P2
46.6%
49.7%
P3
46.1%
51.6%
OT
48.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |