Nathan MacKinnon vs Nicklas Backstrom
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Backstrom 51.1% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 66.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 50.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
MacKinnon
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
53.2% (77)
-7.7%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
50.0% (6)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Backstrom is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Home
47.8% (670)
54.5% (55)
Away
44.6% (644)
48.3% (29)
By Period
MacKinnon
Backstrom
P1
45.3%
50.0%
P2
48.5%
52.9%
P3
45.0%
55.0%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%