Nathan MacKinnon vs Nicklas Backstrom
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Backstrom 50.3% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 64.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 61.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
MacKinnon
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
51.4% (473)
-6.7%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
39.5% (38)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
33.3% (3)
+31.7%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Backstrom
Home
49.4% (553)
53.6% (278)
Away
40.0% (615)
46.6% (236)
By Period
MacKinnon
Backstrom
P1
45.3%
51.5%
P2
42.7%
56.0%
P3
45.1%
43.5%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%