Nathan MacKinnon vs Nico Hischier
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Hischier 56.2% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 58.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 52.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
MacKinnon
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
MacKinnon
Hischier
Last 9: MacKinnon 4-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
MacKinnon
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
2
MacKinnon
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
56.1% (1,018)
-10.6%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
59.9% (289)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
51.3% (80)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hischier
Home
47.8% (670)
56.5% (706)
Away
44.6% (644)
56.7% (681)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hischier
P1
45.3%
54.8%
P2
48.5%
57.8%
P3
45.0%
57.6%
OT
33.3%
14.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |