Nathan MacKinnon vs Nico Hischier
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Hischier 55.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 68.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 89.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 76.8%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
MacKinnon
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
MacKinnon
Hischier
Last 10: MacKinnon 7-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
10
4
MacKinnon
Hischier
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
3
MacKinnon
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
55.8% (1,228)
-6.6%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
62.1% (282)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
47.6% (267)
+1.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hischier
Home
50.9% (740)
56.5% (867)
Away
49.0% (774)
54.6% (910)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hischier
P1
50.9%
57.9%
P2
51.8%
55.9%
P3
47.1%
52.7%
OT
58.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |