Nathan MacKinnon vs Nico Hischier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Hischier 52.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 52-46 in 98 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 63.8%
Defensive zone
Hischier 66.3%
Neutral zone
Hischier 64.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
MacKinnon
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
46
(98 meetings)
52
46
MacKinnon
Hischier
Last 10: MacKinnon 8-2 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
22
9
MacKinnon
Hischier
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
10
21
MacKinnon
Hischier
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
20
16
MacKinnon
Hischier
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
51.5% (8,379)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
59.7% (1,736)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
49.4% (903)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hischier
Home
49.7% (6,444)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hischier
P1
47.4%
52.9%
P2
46.6%
52.4%
P3
46.1%
52.6%
OT
48.4%
50.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |