Nathan MacKinnon vs Nico Hischier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). MacKinnon wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.3% vs Hischier 54.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 58.8%
Defensive zone
Hischier 81.3%
Neutral zone
Hischier 67.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
MacKinnon
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
MacKinnon
Hischier
Last 10: MacKinnon 8-2 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
8
1
MacKinnon
Hischier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
6
MacKinnon
Hischier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
4
MacKinnon
Hischier
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (992)
55.0% (1,107)
-5.0%
Power Play
64.9% (148)
63.1% (252)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
43.6% (149)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hischier
Home
53.3% (591)
56.5% (763)
Away
49.6% (581)
54.0% (745)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hischier
P1
49.9%
56.0%
P2
53.2%
57.6%
P3
50.8%
53.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |