Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKinnon wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 43.8% vs Acciari 48.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 92.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 69.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
MacKinnon
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
MacKinnon
Acciari
Last 7: MacKinnon 6-1 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
1
MacKinnon
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (743)
51.2% (557)
-6.8%
Power Play
35.7% (70)
35.7% (14)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
40.8% (223)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. MacKinnon is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (194).
MacKinnon shoots right. Acciari is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Acciari
Home
46.4% (394)
49.0% (392)
Away
40.1% (446)
47.0% (402)
By Period
MacKinnon
Acciari
P1
44.4%
52.9%
P2
38.2%
44.7%
P3
46.4%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |