Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Acciari 53.3% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 72.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 63.6%
Neutral zone
Acciari 55.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
MacKinnon
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
MacKinnon
Acciari
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
4
MacKinnon
Acciari
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
54.5% (532)
-9.8%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
62.5% (8)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
48.8% (86)
+16.2%
On power play, Acciari has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
MacKinnon shoots right. Acciari is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Acciari
Home
49.4% (553)
56.2% (281)
Away
40.0% (615)
51.9% (345)
By Period
MacKinnon
Acciari
P1
45.3%
53.4%
P2
42.7%
57.1%
P3
45.1%
51.4%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |