Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Acciari 53.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 91.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 87.7%
Neutral zone
Acciari 55.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
MacKinnon
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
MacKinnon
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
MacKinnon
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
56.7% (393)
-7.5%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
33.3% (3)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
48.0% (202)
+1.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
MacKinnon shoots right. Acciari is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Acciari
Home
50.9% (740)
54.5% (279)
Away
49.0% (774)
53.0% (319)
By Period
MacKinnon
Acciari
P1
50.9%
56.9%
P2
51.8%
51.4%
P3
47.1%
53.2%
OT
58.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |