Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Acciari 50.4% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.6%
Neutral zone
Acciari 50.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
MacKinnon
Acciari
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
53.1% (147)
-7.3%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
100.0% (2)
-51.7%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
23.5% (17)
+4.1%
On power play, Acciari has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Acciari is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Acciari
Home
49.5% (396)
66.7% (33)
Away
41.7% (448)
46.6% (133)
By Period
MacKinnon
Acciari
P1
50.2%
50.0%
P2
43.8%
49.1%
P3
41.4%
52.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.6%