Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 50.5% vs Faksa 48.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 77.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 59.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 60.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
MacKinnon
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
6
(23 meetings)
17
6
MacKinnon
Faksa
Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
9
2
MacKinnon
Faksa
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
1
MacKinnon
Faksa
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
3
MacKinnon
Faksa
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,167)
49.3% (959)
+0.0%
Power Play
61.0% (187)
64.5% (31)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (167)
41.8% (232)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
MacKinnon shoots right. Faksa is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Faksa
Home
57.7% (728)
50.3% (589)
Away
44.0% (793)
46.4% (633)
By Period
MacKinnon
Faksa
P1
50.1%
46.7%
P2
52.5%
50.4%
P3
49.3%
47.9%
OT
43.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |