Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Faksa 56.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 94.7%
Neutral zone
Faksa 84.7%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
MacKinnon
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
MacKinnon
Faksa
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
7
0
MacKinnon
Faksa
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
6
MacKinnon
Faksa
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Faksa
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
56.9% (671)
-7.7%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
85.7% (7)
-30.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
55.0% (80)
-5.9%
On power play, Faksa has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Faksa is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Faksa
Home
50.9% (740)
59.5% (375)
Away
49.0% (774)
54.6% (383)
By Period
MacKinnon
Faksa
P1
50.9%
61.2%
P2
51.8%
54.5%
P3
47.1%
55.5%
OT
58.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |