Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Faksa 55.1% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Faksa leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 90.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 83.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 87.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
MacKinnon
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
MacKinnon
Faksa
Last 10: MacKinnon 2-8 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Faksa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
5
MacKinnon
Faksa
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
5
MacKinnon
Faksa
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
56.7% (413)
-12.0%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
56.3% (16)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
53.7% (123)
+11.3%
On power play, Faksa has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Faksa is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Faksa
Home
49.4% (553)
56.3% (261)
Away
40.0% (615)
55.7% (291)
By Period
MacKinnon
Faksa
P1
45.3%
58.6%
P2
42.7%
55.0%
P3
45.1%
55.0%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:37 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |