Nathan MacKinnon vs Radek Faksa
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 37 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Faksa 52.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 57-49 in 106 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.0%
Defensive zone
Faksa 84.3%
Neutral zone
Faksa 73.2%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
MacKinnon
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
49
(106 meetings)
57
49
MacKinnon
Faksa
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
31
6
MacKinnon
Faksa
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
10
24
MacKinnon
Faksa
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
16
19
MacKinnon
Faksa
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
52.8% (6,681)
-6.7%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
57.7% (291)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
49.3% (1,372)
-6.5%
On even strength, Faksa has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Faksa is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,151).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Faksa
Home
49.7% (6,444)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
MacKinnon
Faksa
P1
47.4%
53.0%
P2
46.6%
52.5%
P3
46.1%
52.0%
OT
48.4%
45.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |