Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Greig 44.5% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
MacKinnon
Greig
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
38.8% (103)
+5.9%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
60.0% (5)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
0.0% (1)
+65.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +65.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Greig is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Greig
Home
49.4% (553)
37.7% (53)
Away
40.0% (615)
41.1% (56)
By Period
MacKinnon
Greig
P1
45.3%
41.7%
P2
42.7%
39.3%
P3
45.1%
37.8%
Final 5 min
49.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%