Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Johansen
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Johansen 52.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 58.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 67.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 61.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
MacKinnon
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKinnon
Johansen
Last 6: MacKinnon 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
MacKinnon
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
MacKinnon
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
49.4% (1,010)
-3.6%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
62.3% (236)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
67.2% (67)
-39.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Johansen
Home
49.5% (396)
54.7% (655)
Away
41.7% (448)
50.6% (658)
By Period
MacKinnon
Johansen
P1
50.2%
52.2%
P2
43.8%
50.7%
P3
41.4%
54.8%
OT
66.7%
53.6%
Final 5 min
41.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |