Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Johansen
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Johansen 52.8% (-6.9%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 53.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
MacKinnon
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
51.9% (597)
-6.4%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
57.9% (133)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
54.3% (81)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Johansen
Home
47.8% (670)
55.8% (387)
Away
44.6% (644)
50.7% (424)
By Period
MacKinnon
Johansen
P1
45.3%
50.0%
P2
48.5%
56.2%
P3
45.0%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%