Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Johansen
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Johansen 58.2% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 64.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 61.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
MacKinnon
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
MacKinnon
Johansen
Last 6: MacKinnon 3-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
MacKinnon
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
59.8% (625)
-15.1%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
58.2% (196)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
51.9% (27)
+13.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
MacKinnon shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Johansen
Home
49.4% (553)
60.3% (436)
Away
40.0% (615)
58.0% (412)
By Period
MacKinnon
Johansen
P1
45.3%
61.3%
P2
42.7%
60.4%
P3
45.1%
56.0%
OT
46.2%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |