Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Johansen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 27 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Johansen 53.3% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 54-51 in 105 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 66.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 67.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
MacKinnon
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
54
-
51
(105 meetings)
54
51
MacKinnon
Johansen
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
7
20
MacKinnon
Johansen
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
18
9
MacKinnon
Johansen
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
29
22
MacKinnon
Johansen
51 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
53.1% (11,017)
-7.0%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
56.2% (2,163)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
50.5% (978)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Johansen
Home
49.7% (6,444)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
MacKinnon
Johansen
P1
47.4%
53.2%
P2
46.6%
53.9%
P3
46.1%
52.8%
OT
48.4%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |