Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
43.0% (349)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
31.8% (88)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.5% (396)
38.5% (231)
Away
41.7% (448)
43.2% (206)
By Period
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.2%
40.2%
P2
43.8%
36.0%
P3
41.4%
45.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
45.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |